Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027425 0.029409 0.031475 0.033792 0.036320 0.038998 0.042055
2025-06-29 0.023828 0.026605 0.029645 0.033230 0.037358 0.041978 0.047566
2025-07-06 0.021896 0.025209 0.028975 0.033595 0.039145 0.045639 0.053874
2025-07-13 0.020274 0.023918 0.028185 0.033592 0.040317 0.048481 0.059259
2025-07-20 0.019172 0.023097 0.027815 0.033961 0.041845 0.051737 0.065280
2025-07-27 0.018003 0.022077 0.027082 0.033762 0.042561 0.053925 0.069993
2025-08-03 0.016994 0.021170 0.026403 0.033539 0.043169 0.055939 0.074542
2025-08-10 0.016122 0.020372 0.025794 0.033335 0.043741 0.057883 0.079070
2025-08-17 0.015380 0.019692 0.025284 0.033206 0.044370 0.059898 0.083795
2025-08-24 0.014589 0.018898 0.024570 0.032737 0.044466 0.061129 0.087410
2025-08-31 0.013827 0.018101 0.023803 0.032139 0.044320 0.061966 0.090445
2025-09-07 0.013240 0.017513 0.023288 0.031858 0.044596 0.063415 0.094492
2025-09-14 0.012693 0.016960 0.022801 0.031595 0.044892 0.064921 0.098771
2025-09-21 0.012094 0.016305 0.022138 0.031038 0.044702 0.065654 0.101829
2025-09-28 0.011808 0.016082 0.022078 0.031364 0.045873 0.068575 0.108745
2025-10-05 0.011445 0.015730 0.021813 0.031359 0.046515 0.070673 0.114398
2025-10-12 0.011205 0.015544 0.021777 0.031698 0.047711 0.073737 0.121981
2025-10-19 0.010837 0.015154 0.021420 0.031514 0.048043 0.075364 0.127086
2025-10-26 0.010486 0.014776 0.021064 0.031309 0.048320 0.076904 0.132134
2025-11-02 0.010161 0.014423 0.020730 0.031122 0.048609 0.078468 0.137339
2025-11-09 0.009872 0.014114 0.020449 0.031003 0.049002 0.080229 0.143057
2025-11-16 0.009523 0.013701 0.019991 0.030572 0.048830 0.080956 0.146769
2025-11-23 0.009165 0.013261 0.019476 0.030022 0.048417 0.081214 0.149541